The analysis of the recent periods of oat market in Turkey

Abstract

Recently, the demand for sufficient and safe food has been increasing, and alternative food sources have gained importance. Oat, which is in the cereals group, is used in animal breeding besides being a human food.  Turkey, while in the twentieth in the world in terms of production, is ranked thirty-second in terms of efficiency. The purpose of this study, the production quantity of oat market in recent years in Turkey, cultivation area, yield, average selling price, exports, imports, and foreign trade balance to evaluate. In the research, the statistical data of the Turkey Statistical Institute and the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization, the relevant sector reports, and other studies were used. Trend analysis was conducted in the research, and projections were carried out until 2025, using data from 2000 and 2019. According to the obtained results, in the next period, oat cultivation areas in Turkey, production volume, yield, and prices will tend to rise at different rates.  The regression coefficients of these increases were determined as 52.67%, 11.72%, 75.8%, and 98.25%, respectively. On the other hand, it is expected that exports will increase, imports will decrease and foreign trade balance will turn positive, and their regression coefficients are determined as 20.23%, 49.79%, and 50.4%, respectively. It has been determined that the production amount and yield are based on climatic conditions and low productivity is a problem. The problem of low yield can be solved by measures such as developments in agricultural technologies, certified seed, variety improvement, and inclusion in the crop pattern in irrigated farming. In addition, increasing the amount of public agricultural support, and extension activities can increase cultivation, production and productivity. This research also provides useful results in terms of covering up-to-date data on oats.