El análisis de los períodos recientes del mercado de trigo en Turquía
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5935/jetia.v7i27.734Resumen
El tema de la seguridad alimentaria es una preocupación debido al cambio climático que se ha vuelto más frecuente a nivel mundial. El trigo tiene una importancia especial entre las fuentes alimenticias básicas de los seres vivos. Aunque Turquía se llevará a cabo dentro de los primeros 10 países del área mundial de trigo, la cantidad de producción es baja. La investigación tiene como objetivo analizar el consumo, el rendimiento, el precio de venta promedio, el valor de exportación-importación, la balanza del comercio exterior y la tendencia de estos para el futuro cercano de la producción de trigo en Turquía. Para ello, se hicieron proyecciones hasta 2024 utilizando datos entre los años 2005 y 2019. Según los resultados, las áreas de cultivo de trigo disminuyen y los precios están subiendo en Turquía. Por otro lado, el rendimiento de trigo aumenta respecto a años anteriores debido a factores como el desarrollo de tecnología, la expansión de áreas de riego y el uso de semillas certificadas. Las importaciones de trigo también se han incrementado debido al crecimiento de la población, el aumento de la ganadería, el procesamiento interno y el desarrollo de la industria de la harina y los productos de harina en Turquía. Se espera que continúen las importaciones de trigo. Para prevenir esta situación, se deben ampliar las áreas de cultivo de trigo y se debe apoyar más a los productores con políticas públicas que aumenten la producción. Para ello, es necesario incrementar la eficiencia de las actividades de extensión agrícola, asegurar la participación de los agricultores y aplicar políticas de apoyo competitivo a productos estratégicos como el trigo.
Descargas
Referencias
M.H. Aydoğdu, “Farmers’ risk perception and willingness to pay for environment: Case study of GAP-Sanliurfa, Turkey,” Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, vol. 25, no. 12, pp. 5449–5455, 2016.
M. H. Aydoğdu, “Farmers’ attitudes to the pricing of natural resources for sustainability: GAP-Şanlıurfa sampling of Turkey,” Water, vol. 11, no. 9, Art. no. 9, Sep. 2019, doi: 10.3390/w11091772.
M. H. Aydoğdu and K. Yenigün, “Farmers’ risk perception towards climate change: A case of the GAP-Şanlıurfa region, Turkey,” Sustainability, vol. 8, no. 8, Art. no. 8, 2016, doi: 10.3390/su8080806.
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), “Statistical Databases,” 2016. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QC (accessed Jan. 04, 2018).
Ö. D. E. Köse and Z. Mut, “Tahıl ve tahıl ürünlerinin insan beslenmesi ve sağlık açısından önemi, Yozgat’ta tahılların durumu,” in Bölgesel Kalkınma ve Sosyo-Kültürel Yapı, Yozgat, May 2018, vol. 1, pp. 1121–1130.
B. Atar, “Gıdamız buğdayın, geçmişten geleceğe yolculuğu,” Yalvaç Akademi Dergisi, vol. 2, no. 1, Art. no. 1, Dec. 2017.
F. Özberk, A. Karagöz, İ. Özberk, and A. Atli, “Buğday genetik kaynaklarından yerel ve kültür çeşitlerine; Türkiye’de buğday ve ekmek,” Tarla Bitkileri Merkez Araştırma Enstitüsü Dergisi, vol. 25, no. 2, Art. no. 2, Dec. 2016.
A. T. Özcan, “Altın Orda Hanlığı zamanında Karadeniz’in Kafkasya sahillerinde Cenovalı tüccarlar, kolonileri ve ticari yaşam,” Marmara Türkiyat Araştırmaları Dergisi, vol. 7, no. 1, Art. no. 1, Jun. 2020, doi: 10.16985/mtad.752865.
G. Kotancılar, İ. Çelik, and Z. Ertugay, “Ekmeğin besin değeri ve beslenmedeki önemi,” Atatürk Üni.Zir.Fak.Der., vol. 26, no. 3, pp. 431–441, 1995.
A. Keçeli, “A review on the bioactive, antioxidant properties of einkorn (triticum monococcum l. ssp. monococcum) populations and using in organic agriculture,” Turkish Journal of Agriculture - Food Science and Technology, vol. 7, no. 12, Art. no. 12, Dec. 2019, doi: 10.24925/turjaf.v7i12.2111-2120.2833.
Toprak Mahsülleri Ofisi Genel Müdürlüğü (TMO), “2018 Hububat Sektör Raporu,” Mar. 2019. https://www.tmo.gov.tr/Upload/Document/hububatsektorraporu2018.pdf (accessed Dec. 17, 2020).
TUIK, “Crop production statistics,” 2020. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?kn=92&locale=tr (accessed Jul. 09, 2020).
M. H. Aydoğdu, İ. Aydoğdu, C. A. Cevheri̇, M. R. Sevi̇nç, and N. Küçük, “Şanlıurfa’daki yem bitkileri eken çiftçilerin sosyo-ekonomik profilinin analizi,” Journal of Ekonomi, pp. 10–15, Mar. 2020.
M. H. Aydoğdu, İ. Aydoğdu, and C. A. Cevheri̇, “Analysis of factors affecting the production of forage crops of farmers: GAP-Şanliurfa Sampling of Turkey,” in Academic Studies in Economics and Administrative Sciences, 1st ed., H. Babacan and Y. A. Unvan, Eds. Cetinje-Montenegro: Ivpe Cetinje, 2020, pp. 142–154.
M. H. Aydoğdu and N. Küçük, “General analysis of recent changes in red meat consumption in Turkey,” IOSR Journal of Economics and Finance (IOSR-JEF), vol. 9, no. 6–IV, pp. 1–8, 2018, doi: 10.9790/5933-0906040108.
M. H. Aydogdu and Z. Sahin, “General analysis of the recent changes of barley productions and consumptions in Turkey,” IOSR Journal of Agriculture and Veterinary Science (IOSR-JAVS), vol. 13, no. 1, pp. 14–19, 2020.
S. Duru, A. Gül, and S. Hayran, “Türkiye’de buğday ve buğday mamulleri dış ticaret yapısı,” Bilecik Şeyh Edebali Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, vol. 4, no. 2, Art. no. 2, Dec. 2019, doi: 10.33905/bseusbed.563347.
Anonymous, “2020 USD - Dollar exchange rates archive,” 2020. https://paracevirici.com/doviz-arsiv/merkez-bankasi/gecmis-tarihli-doviz/2020/amerikan-dolari (accessed Dec. 17, 2020).
Republic of Turkey Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, “Domestic Certified Seed Use Support,” 2020. https://www.tarimorman.gov.tr/Konular/Tarimsal-Destekler/Diger-Tarimsal-Amacli-Destekler/Yurtici-Sertifikali-Tohum-Kullanim-Destegi (accessed Dec. 17, 2020).
G. Sevinç, M. H. Aydoğdu, M. Cançelik, and M. R. Sevinç, “Farmers’ attitudes toward public support policy for sustainable agriculture in GAP-Şanlıurfa, Turkey,” Sustainability, vol. 11, no. 23, Art. no. 23, Jan. 2019, doi: 10.3390/su11236617.
Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), “Wheat production quantity and area harvested,” 2020. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/QC (accessed Nov. 15, 2020).
TUIK, “Agricultural price statistics,” 2020. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?kn=110&locale=tr (accessed Jul. 06, 2020).
TUIK, “Agricultural product balance tables,” 2020. https://biruni.tuik.gov.tr/medas/?kn=104&locale=tr (accessed Jul. 06, 2020).
Z. Bayramoğlu, “Tarımsal verimlilik ve önemi,” Selcuk Journal of Agriculture and Food Sciences, vol. 24, no. 3, Art. no. 3, Aug. 2010.
H. P. Doğan, M. H. Aydoğdu, M. R. Sevinç, and M. Cançelik, “Farmers’ willingness to pay for services to ensure sustainable agricultural income in the GAP-Harran Plain, Şanlıurfa, Turkey,” Agriculture, vol. 10, no. 5, Art. no. 5, May 2020, doi: 10.3390/agriculture10050152.
S. Cengi̇z and C. M. Baydur, “Kırdan kente göç ve tarımsal veri̇mli̇li̇k: Türki̇ye örneği̇,” Ç.Ü. Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, vol. 19, no. 2, pp. 85–98, Oct. 2010.
Republic of Turkey General Directorate of State Meteorological Service, “2008 climate assessment report,” 2009. https://www.mgm.gov.tr/files/iklim/2008-yili-iklim-degerlendirmesi.pdf (accessed Nov. 15, 2020).
Republic of Turkey General Directorate of State Meteorological Service, “Climate assessment for 2015,” 2016. https://mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yillikiklim/2015-iklim-raporu.pdf (accessed Nov. 15, 2020).
Republic of Turkey General Directorate of State Meteorological Service, “Climate Assessment for 2016,” 2017. https://mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yillikiklim/2016-iklim-raporu.pdf (accessed Jul. 15, 2020).
Republic of Turkey General Directorate of State Meteorological Service, “Climate assessment for 2017,” 2018. https://mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yillikiklim/2017-iklim-raporu.pdf (accessed Jul. 15, 2020).
Republic of Turkey General Directorate of State Meteorological Service, “Climate assessment for 2019,” 2020. https://mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yillikiklim/2019-iklim-raporu.pdf (accessed Jul. 15, 2020).
Tarsus Commodity Exchange, “2019 Wheat condition asssessment report,” 2020. http://tarsusticaretborsasi.com/DOSYALAR/pdf/2019%20BUGDAY%20RAPOR.pdf (accessed Jul. 30, 2020).
M. H. Aydoğdu, “Evaluation of farmers’ willingness to pay for agricultural extension services in GAP-Harran plain, Turkey,” Journal of Agricultural Science and Technology, vol. 19, no. 5, pp. 785–796, 2017.








